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Friday, October 28 • 10:30am - 11:15am
Probabilistic Decision Making - Simple techniques for making decisions around risk and opportunity

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Simple techniques for making decisions around risk and opportunity

You know "collaboration over contract negotiation', right? However, metrics often drive a wedge between management and the team, none more so than forecasting metrics. However, when you give a probability distribution as the answer to the question, "When will we get it?" instead of a single date, an amazing transformation happens. Suddenly, the team and management start working together to manage tradeoffs and risk. 

You need two things to take advantage of this paradigm shift: 1) How do you start to think probabilistically?; and 2) How do you generate a probabilistic forecast or analysis? This talk provides mindset shifts necessary for #1 and lots of worked out practical examples for #2.

avatar for Larry Maccherone

Larry Maccherone

Larry Maccherone is an industry-recognized thought leader on agile, metrics, and visualization. He currently helps a number of companies in the areas of metrics, agile development, and cybersecurity including Comcast, AgileCraft, Agility Health, and Pendo.io. Previously, Larry led... Read More →

Friday October 28, 2016 10:30am - 11:15am PDT
Room 217 C-D