Simple techniques for making decisions around risk and opportunity
You know "collaboration over contract negotiation', right? However, metrics often drive a wedge between management and the team, none more so than forecasting metrics. However, when you give a probability distribution as the answer to the question, "When will we get it?" instead of a single date, an amazing transformation happens. Suddenly, the team and management start working together to manage tradeoffs and risk.
You need two things to take advantage of this paradigm shift: 1) How do you start to think probabilistically?; and 2) How do you generate a probabilistic forecast or analysis? This talk provides mindset shifts necessary for #1 and lots of worked out practical examples for #2.
